If the Browns illustrate anything, it’s that there is truly light within everything.įully rehashing how bad the Browns have been under current ownership isn’t worthwhile, and at some point it’s rude to stare. They illustrate how far the Browns have wandered from the flock: Here’s what looks like a bad team on paper, and in actuality we see, oh god, it’s much worse.īut the Browns should be better this season and that’s kinda nice to think about it, so let’s get that out of the way.
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Pro Football Reference’s expected win-loss formula says the Browns should have won a combined 6.8 games over the last two seasons, and they won one. Statistics can’t show exactly how bad the Browns are, because they’ve been worse than that. The second (and this applies to the Browns’ entire rich, putrid history): Our capacity to let rich dickheads ruin things.Īnd in that case, the Browns are both perhaps somehow not as bad as they seem - they should get better just by being a year older - and yet wholly screwed.
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The first: Being young and stupid leads you to make a lot of young and stupid mistakes. Yet, the numbers outline two simple, human qualities. Now, put the Browns in a situation where they had to prepare for all contingencies - to read, then diagnose, then react on the fly - and they were pungently bad. Ditto the offense, which was awful at everything except one well-defined task: When it found itself in first-and-goal, goal line, or third-and-short situations, it converted safely above the league median. The defense was also awful in the red zone, except on the goal line, where they could stack the line with no shortage of fine, young front seven players.
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That is to say, if they could assume that the offense was passing or likely running with short yardage to go, they knew how to defend it as opposed to third-and-medium, where they were awful - 31st out of 32 teams. When facing third-and-long and third-and-short defensively, they ranked eighth and sixth in the league in success rate, respectively. For this preview, Bill Connelly parsed the numbers, and found that the Browns were bad at almost all things, but OK in one: Whenever the offense or defense had a focused task, it often succeeded. No, their problem goes to the bottom of their dark, murky soul.Īnd it is partially quantifiable. You can fix bad in the football sense, and if the Browns’ issues were only rooted in football, we should have seen a sign of hope by now - not two winning seasons since getting their NFL franchise back in 1999, or dead-last division finishes in 15 of 19 seasons in that same span. The problem with the Cleveland Browns isn’t just that they’ve been bad it’s that they’ve been bad in a human way.
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